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The Venture Capital Bubble Was a Monetary Phenomenon: A Post-Mortem
The venture capital boom of 2020 and 2021 was not primarily a technology phenomenon. It was a monetary phenomenon that expressed itself through technology. The distinction matters because the lessons drawn from the subsequent correction are different depending on which explanation you accept. The technology-as-cause narrative goes like this: extraordinary technological progress — cloud computing, AI, remote work infrastructure — created genuine business opportunities of unpre

MG
Mar 63 min read


Music and Film IP Valuation: How Content Assets Get Priced in a Deal
The market for music and film IP has transformed over the last decade. Low interest rates, the growth of streaming, and the entry of institutional capital into content rights created a period of historically elevated valuations for music catalogues, film libraries, and other content assets. The environment has shifted since 2022, but the fundamental question — how do you actually value a music catalogue or film library in a transaction? — remains as relevant as ever for buyer

MG
Mar 33 min read


What Private Equity Actually Does to Portfolio Companies
Private equity has a cultural image problem. Depending on who you ask, PE firms are either disciplined operators who create value through professional management and strategic focus, or financial engineers who load companies with debt, fire employees, and flip assets for a quick profit. Both caricatures contain some truth. Neither is accurate as a general description. If you are a founder considering a sale to a financial sponsor, or a management team being acquired by one, h

MG
Mar 34 min read


How to Think About Valuation Before You Go to Market
Valuation is the question every founder asks first and almost everyone answers too simply. A multiple of revenue. A multiple of EBITDA. What a comparable company sold for. These reference points are useful but they don't tell you what your business is actually worth to the buyers you're going to approach — and the gap between those two things is where most valuation surprises come from. Why comparables are a starting point, not an answer Comparable company analysis — looking

MG
Mar 34 min read


Change Management During a Transaction: The Internal Story Nobody Tells
Every transaction has two narratives running simultaneously. The external one — the story told to investors, buyers, the press, the market — gets enormous attention. The internal one — what leadership tells the organization, when, and how — gets almost none. This is a mistake with real costs. Key employees leave during deal processes. Integration failures begin before the documents are signed. Culture damage that takes years to repair starts in the silence between announcemen

MG
Mar 34 min read


What Does a Fairness Opinion Actually Do?
Fairness opinions are one of the most misunderstood instruments in M&A transactions. Most people who encounter them know that they are required in certain situations and produced by investment bankers. Fewer understand what they actually say, what they don't say, and why they exist. What it is A fairness opinion is a written letter from an investment bank or financial advisor stating that, in their opinion, the consideration to be received in a transaction is fair, from a fin

MG
Mar 33 min read


The Difference Between a Strategic Acquirer and a Financial Sponsor — And Why It Changes Everything
One of the most important decisions in a sell-side M&A process is who you're selling to. Not which specific buyer — that comes later — but what type of buyer, and what that means for everything from valuation to your role post-close to the future of your team. The two primary buyer categories are strategic acquirers and financial sponsors. Understanding the differences — in motivation, valuation approach, process expectations, and post-close behavior — is foundational to runn

MG
Mar 34 min read


GDPR and CCPA Before Your Fundraise: What Diligence Will Find
Five years ago, data privacy was a footnote in most fundraise diligence processes. Today it is a standard section of every serious diligence checklist — and for data companies, consumer-facing businesses, and any company that licenses or sells data, it is often a primary diligence focus. This is a practical guide to what gets reviewed, what creates problems, and what to address before you go to market. Why this now GDPR has been in force since 2018. CCPA went into effect in 2

MG
Mar 33 min read


Board Communications That Work: What Directors Actually Want to See
The average board meeting at a growth-stage company is less useful than it should be. The deck is too long. The reporting section takes 90% of the time. Directors learn what happened in the past quarter without having a productive conversation about what should happen next. Management leaves exhausted rather than supported. This is almost always a communications design problem, not a board quality problem. Here is what effective board communications actually look like — and h

MG
Mar 33 min read


Investor Relations for Private Companies: A Founder's Guide
Most private company founders think investor relations is something public companies do — a function that comes into existence the day you ring the Nasdaq bell and goes away when you go private again. This is a mistake that costs founders negotiating leverage, investor confidence, and sometimes deals. Investor relations, properly understood, is the practice of managing the information and narrative relationship between a company and the people who have capital invested in it

MG
Mar 34 min read


What Is a Fractional CFO — And When Do You Actually Need One?
The term 'fractional CFO' has been applied to such a wide range of services — from bookkeeping cleanup to strategic financial advisory — that it has become almost meaningless as a category. Here is a clear account of what a fractional CFO actually does, what distinguishes a good one from a bad one, and when you need one versus when you don't. What a fractional CFO is not A bookkeeper who does financial statements. A controller who manages close. An accountant who handles tax

MG
Mar 33 min read


RevOps Before a Raise: Why Your Pipeline Data Matters More Than Your Deck
Founders spend weeks on their pitch deck. They spend months building the product. They spend years developing customer relationships. And then they go into a raise with CRM data that hasn't been cleaned since Q3 of the year before last. This is a mistake — and it's a fixable one. Here's why commercial data matters more than most founders realize, and what to do about it before you go to market. What investors are actually evaluating An investor who receives your pitch deck ha

MG
Mar 33 min read


How to Build a CRM That Investors Actually Believe
At some point in every due diligence process, an investor will ask for a pipeline report. What they get back — and what it says about how the company is managed — is one of the most telling moments in a raise. A CRM that produces credible pipeline data is not just a diligence requirement. It is a management asset. Here is what it takes to build one. The problem with most startup CRMs Most early-stage B2B companies have a CRM that is optimistically populated and sporadically m

MG
Mar 33 min read


Unit Economics for B2B SaaS: What Every Investor Will Ask
Unit economics conversations reveal more about a business than almost any other part of an investor meeting. Not because the numbers are always good — they often aren't, especially at early stages — but because the way a founder talks about them tells you whether they understand their own business model. Here is what investors are actually asking, what the right answers look like, and where the common mistakes are. The metrics that matter Customer Acquisition Cost (CAC): the

MG
Mar 34 min read


Sell-Side M&A for Founders: What the Process Actually Looks Like
Most founders who go through a sell-side M&A process are surprised by how long it takes, how much management bandwidth it consumes, and how different it feels from what they expected. This is a plain-language account of how the process actually works — from the first conversation with a banker to the wire hitting your account. Phase 1: Preparation (6–12 weeks) Before any buyer sees your business, there is significant preparation work. This is the phase that determines the qua

MG
Mar 34 min read
The 2021 Peak: A Case Study in Speculative Excess
The peak of the 2020 to 2021 speculative cycle will be studied in future editions of Kindleberger the way the South Sea Bubble and the dot-com peak are studied in current ones: as a unusually well-documented case of euphoria, where the evidence of excess is preserved in SPAC prospectuses, venture term sheets, crypto white papers, and the social media commentary of the participants in real time. What made 2021 unusual, even by the standards of speculative manias, was the simul
Mar 63 min read
Kindleberger's Anatomy of a Bubble: A Field Guide for the Present Moment
Charles Kindleberger's Manias, Panics, and Crashes, first published in 1978 and updated through five editions, is the most useful book ever written about financial bubbles — not because it provides a predictive model but because it provides a diagnostic one. Kindleberger, drawing on Minsky's theoretical framework and his own deep knowledge of financial history, described the anatomy of a speculative mania with enough precision that subsequent bubbles can be mapped onto his sc
Mar 63 min read
Minsky Was Right: The Financial Instability Hypothesis and Why Stability Is Destabilizing
Hyman Minsky spent most of his career at Washington University in St. Louis largely ignored by mainstream economics, which had concluded — with the confidence that precedes most large intellectual mistakes — that financial markets were self-stabilizing and that the business cycle had been tamed. Minsky argued the opposite: that financial stability is itself destabilizing, that the longer a period of economic calm persists the more fragile the financial system becomes, and tha
Mar 63 min read
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